FOREIGN RESOURCES INFLOW AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

  • Kemkamma Bright Aborh, Ph.D Edwin Clark University, Kiagbodo, Delta
  • Terungwa Paul Joseph Jato, Ph.D University of Agriculture, Makurdi

Resumo

The study assessed the impact of foreign resources on economic growth in Nigeria from 1986 to 2015. Secondary data were obtained from various issues of CBN statistical bulletin. Economic Growth (the dependent variable) was considered interms of real gross domestic product (RGDP); while foreign resources (independent variable) was considered in the form of foreign direct investment (FDI), foreign portfolio investment (FPI), and official direct assistance (ODA). These served as the major regressor with exchange rate (EXCR) as check variable. The techniques of analysis used were ADF test of stationarity, co-integration test for long-run relationship, and Error Correct Mechanism (ECM) analyse of relationship between the variables. The results show that the explanatory variables explained 93.7% of the variations in economic growth in Nigeria. F-statistic of 66.628 (F-table

= 2.84) showed statistical significance the model. The values of the coefficient of past (lag 1 and 2) of FDI and current value of FPI had significantly positively signed, while the first lag (lag 1) of ODA and current value of EXCR were significantly negatively related with economic growth. From these findings, foreign resource inflows is said to, on the whole, have significant impact on RGDP. In conclusion, the study submits that the flow of foreign resourcesis very important toeconomic growth (in terms of the growth in real gross domestic product) in Nigeria within the period of study. This means that, more efforts should be done to attract and ensure effective use of the resources.

Biografias Autor

Kemkamma Bright Aborh, Ph.D, Edwin Clark University, Kiagbodo, Delta

Department of Economics

Terungwa Paul Joseph Jato, Ph.D, University of Agriculture, Makurdi

Department of Business Administration

Referências

Aborh, K. B. (2015). Capital inflow and economic growth in Nigeria (1980-2012). Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, submitted to the Department of Economics, University of Port Harcourt.
Adofu, I. (2010). Accelerating economic growth in Nigeria: The role of foreign direct investment. Current Research Journal of Economic Theory, 2(1):11- 15.
Akpakpan, E. B. (1999). The Economy: Towards a new type of Economics. Port Harcourt: Belpot Publishers.
Amadasun, A., & Ojeifo, S. (2011).Foreign direct investment and sustainable development in Subsaharan Africa in the 21stcentury: Challenges and intervention . Insight to a Challenging World Journal,2(I):135-146.
Asiedu, E. (2002). On the determinants of foreign direct investment: Is African different? World Development Journal, 30(1): 107-119.
Baghebo, M & Edoumiekumo, S. (2012). Foreign private capital accumulation and economic development in Nigeria 1970–2010.International Journal of Humanities and Social Science, 2(12):203-217.
CBN (2005). Statistical bulletin. vol 5.12 CBN (2012).Statistical bulletin.
CBN (2015).Statistical bulletin.
Dauda, R.S.(2008).Trends, behavior patterns and growth implication of foreign private capital flows in Nigeria. ICFA Journal of Financial Economics, 6(3):29-40.
Dicky, D.A. & Fuller, W.A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of American Statistical Association,74(3): 427-433.
Ekanem, O. T. &Iyoha, M. A. (2002).Introduction to econometrics. Benin City: March Publishers.
Ekeocha, P.C. (2008).Modelling the long run determinants of foreign portfolio investment in an emerging market: Evidence from Nigeria. International Conference on Applied Economics.
Ekwe, M. C & Inyiama, O.I (2014). Foreign capital flows and growth of the Nigeria: An empirical Review. International Journal of Economics and Finance,6(4):68-86.
Ezeoha,E.A. & Cattaneo, B.(2011).FDI flows to sub-sahara Africa: Impact of financial institutions and natural resources endowment. Paper submitted to the CSAE conference. Economic Development in Africa.
Gbosi, A.N. (2003). Nigeria contemporary foreign trade and exchange rate policy.
Port Harcourt: Emhai Printing Press.
IMF (2003).External debt statistics: Guide for compilers and users. Appendix iii, Glossary. IMF, Washington, D.C.
Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on co-integration with applications for the demand of money. Oxford Bulletin of economics and statistics, 52: 169-210.
Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1992). Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate co-integration analysis at the purchasing power parity and the uncovered interest parity for the UK ,Journal of Econometrics, 53(3): 211 – 244.
Kim, S. & Yang, D. (2008). The impact capital inflow on East Asian economies: Is too much money chasing too much goods? Asian Development Bank. Working Paper series on Regional Economic Integration. No. 15
Kim, S. (2011). The effects of foreign capital inflow on economic growth. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL),2(3):14-35.
Lee, C.H. (2007). A survey of the literature on the determinants of foreign portfolio investments in the United States. Journal Review of World Economics Springer Berlin/Heidelberg, 113(3): 41-60
Modey, A., Taylor, M., & Yeomkim, J. (2001). Modeling fundamentals for forecasting capital flows to emerging markets. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 6(1): 201-216.
Mottaleb, K. A. (2008). Determinants of foreign indirect investment and its Impact on economic growth in developing countries. Munich Personal Repec Archive, MPRApaper no. 9457.
Obadan, M. I. (2004). Foreign capital flows and external debt: Perspectives on Nigeria and the LDCs Group. Lagos: Broadway Press Limited.
Obiechinna, M. E. & Ukeje, E. U. (2013). Economic growth, capital flows, foreign exchange rate, export and trade openness in Nigeria. International Journal of Economic and Management Science, 2(9): 01-13.
Okon, J., Augustine, O., & Chuku, A.C (2013). Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Analysis of the Endogeneous Effects. Current Research Journal of Economic Theory, 4(3):53-66.
Oladipupo, A. O. & Onataniyohuwo, F. O. (2011). Impact of exchange rate on balance of payment in Nigeria. African research review: An International Multidisciplinary Journal, Ethiopia, 5 (4):73-88.
Olaniyi, O. (1988). An econometric analysis of domestic savings and investment financing in Nigeria.Journal of Teacher Education, 4: 133-142.
Onyeso, O. (2010). The role of foreign capital in Nigerian economic growth and development. Lagos: University Press.
Osabuohien, E.S.C. (2007). Foreign capital and Africa's economic progress: Facts from Nigeria and South Africa. Journal of Banking and Finance, 9 (1): 24- 37.
Oyejide,T.A.(2005). Capital flows and economic transformation: A conceptual
framework. A paper presented at the 5th Conference, Abuja, November 10-11.
CBN Annual Monetary Policy
Praduma, B.R.& Dowlin, J.M. (1998). The impact of foreign capital on growth.
Evidence from Asia developing countries. The developing economies.
Saibu, O. M. & Keke, N.A. (2014). Real output, effects of foreign direct investment in Nigeria. Journal of Behavioural Economics, Finance, Entrepreneurship, Accounting and Transport, 2(1): 1-7, doi: 10.12691/jbe-2-1-1.
Sethi, N. (2013). Causal relationship between foreign capital inflows and economic growth: Empirical evidence from India. International Journals of Economics, Finance and Management, 2(1):28-43.
Sethi, N., Patnaik, T. & Uma, S.K. (2007). International capital flows on India's economic growth-in view of changing financial market. The Indian Journal of Economic,45 (3):348-366.
Umoh, O.J. & Jacob, A. C. (2012). Foreign direct investment and economic Growth in Nigeria: An analysis of endogenous effects. Current Research Journal and Economic Theory, 4(3):53-66
UNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development) (2009), World Investment report. New York.
Wafure, O. G. & Nurndeem, A. (2010). Determinant of foreign investment in Nigeria: An empirical Analysis. Global Journal of Humanity and social sciences,10(1): 26-34.
Publicado
2019-06-26